By , that gap tightened, with developing countries' collective GDP shrinking to 3. Understandably, the prognostications were grim as they noted that:. The report goes on to state:. Effective mitigation is expected to see the global economy recover to 3. However, a longer-lasting coronavirus outbreak and spread, especially throughout the Asia-Pacific region, Europe and North America could see global GDP:. The largest and best-run companies in these countries will be among the biggest beneficiaries of long-term economic expansion.
Most nations release GDP data every month and quarter. In the U. The BEA releases are exhaustive and contain a wealth of detail, enabling economists and investors to obtain information and insights on various aspects of the economy.
The advance GDP data has the most impact on the markets as it is the first snapshot of how well the economy is performing. Subsequent releases have limited market impact, unless there is a significant variance from the advance GDP figure, since a substantial amount of time has already elapsed between the quarter-end and these releases. The market impact can be severe if the actual numbers differ considerably from expectations. GDP had increased at a 2.
The data fueled speculation that the stronger economy could lead the Federal Reserve Fed to scale back its massive stimulus program that was in effect at the time. One interesting metric that investors can use to get some sense of the valuation of an equity market is the ratio of total stock market capitalization to GDP , expressed as a percentage.
The closest equivalent to this in terms of stock valuation is the market cap to total sales or revenues , which in per-share terms is the well-known price-to-sales ratio. Just as stocks in different sectors trade at widely divergent price-to-sales ratios, different nations trade at stock-market-cap-to-GDP ratios that are literally all over the map.
For example, the U. However, the utility of this ratio lies in comparing it to historical norms for a particular nation. As an example, the U. Given the rise in the U. In terms of its ability to convey information about the economy in one number, few data points can match the GDP and its growth rate. International Markets. Your Privacy Rights. To change or withdraw your consent choices for Investopedia.
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I Accept Show Purposes. Your Money. Personal Finance. Your Practice. Popular Courses. It houses more than a half-million data series and is free for use worldwide. Policymakers will look to GDP when contemplating decisions on interest rates, tax and trade policies. The pace at which our economy is growing affects business conditions and investment decisions , as well as whether workers can find jobs. State and local governments rely on GDP and similar statistics to help shape policy or decide how much public spending is affordable.
Louis Fed. This blog explains everyday economics, explores consumer topics and answers Fed FAQs. It also spotlights the people and programs that make the St. Views expressed are not necessarily those of the St. Louis Fed or Federal Reserve System. Open Vault Blog. March 27, In other words, GDP does not report externalities , that is, it does not reflect the totality of the benefits and social costs derived from economic activity. El PIB neither does it measure the quality of the goods and services produced.
The GDP figures are just numbers that do not take into account exactly what is being produced or what is the quality of what is being produced. This prevents, for example, comparing production between different periods.
Does a computer add the same to GDP now as in the s? The answer is no. Does a country of services add up to the same as an oil exporter? The answer is also no. It ignores the value of elements that contribute to maintaining the level of well-being of the population, such as leisure or freedom. In the freest countries or in which their inhabitants have more leisure time and better options in which to invest it, well-being is much higher. As we can see, GDP presents important limitations that make it a questionable efficiency indicator to measure the well-being of society.
Not surprisingly, even its creator, Kuznets himself, came at the time to criticize GDP, concerned that it was not the best possible measure of the well-being of citizens.
An alternative to measure well-being could be the Human development Index , a ranking that, in addition to GDP, incorporates two other factors: the education of citizens and their health.
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